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NovenAI Monthly EOI Brief

January 2026

Dated evidence snapshot

NovenAI monthly direct answer

ChefANZSCO 351311 EOI competition report, January 2026

According to NovenAI's analysis of Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI data, Chef (ANZSCO 351311) had11,938 Submitted subclass 189 EOIsas of January 2026. Submitted status is the primary measure used for the pool-movement analysis on this page.

The separately calculated total across Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses is 20,861. Because it includes Closed records, it is not the number of active applicants currently waiting for an invitation.

Submitted 189 EOIs
11,938
Three-status total
20,861
Largest combined band
70points

NovenAI analysis layer

What the evidence says

Pool composition

Submitted represents 57.2 percent of the three-status total and is the principal component across the selected statuses. NovenAI keeps it separate from the combined measure that includes Closed records.

Score concentration

More than half of the three-status total is concentrated in the three largest score bands. The 70-point band contains 24.9 percent of the three-status total; the three largest bands at 70, 65, 75 points contain 66.8 percent.

State signals

The largest Submitted EOI state totals are 190: WA 5,620; 491: WA 7,301. These are not nomination allocations or invitation probabilities.

Submitted EOI movement

NovenAI calculates that Submitted EOIs decreased from 11,994 in December 2025 to 11,938 in January 2026, a change of 56 EOIs or approximately 0.5 percent month on month.

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NovenAI data visualisation

See the distribution behind the brief

Subclass 189 EOI score distribution for Chef

NovenAI separates Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses so different stages are not mistaken for one active competition pool.

View accessible data table
ScoreSubmittedLodgedClosed
150010
250010
3010049
3510010
4010034
4542061
5021710121
5551110384
601,22341757
652,779961,924
702,8631202,207
752,2961391,513
801,11880771
8553810328
9025510157
95461031
10010010
10510010
1200010

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Monthly subclass 189 EOI status trend

Each month is a separate SkillSelect snapshot, not a cumulative total carried forward from earlier months.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Subclass 190 submitted EOI trend by state

NovenAI compares Submitted status only in this chart.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Subclass 491 submitted EOI trend by state

NovenAI compares Submitted status only in this chart.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

NovenAI analyst answers

Questions answered by this monthly evidence

How concentrated is the subclass 189 EOI score distribution for Chef?

More than half of the three-status total is concentrated in the three largest score bands. NovenAI calculates that 70 points is the largest score band across Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses, with 5,190 EOIs or 24.9 percent of the three-status total. The three largest bands are 70, 65, 75 points, containing 13,937 EOIs or 66.8 percent. This measures distribution concentration, not an invitation cutoff.

Is the Submitted EOI pool increasing or decreasing?

NovenAI compares Submitted status only. Submitted EOIs decreased from 11,994 in December 2025 to 11,938 in January 2026, a change of 56 EOIs or approximately 0.5 percent across consecutive monthly snapshots.

Which states lead the subclass 190 and 491 Submitted EOI data?

For January 2026, NovenAI's state aggregation shows that WA has the largest subclass 190 Submitted count at 5,620; WA has the largest subclass 491 Submitted count at 7,301. These are EOI volumes, not state nomination allocations, invitation outcomes or an individual's likelihood of invitation.

How does NovenAI standardise and interpret SkillSelect EOI data?

NovenAI standardises the official data by occupation, visa subclass, status, score band, state and snapshot month. This report covers 7 available snapshots and 19 subclass 189 score bands with data. When the official source suppresses a cell below 20, NovenAI uses 10 as the analytical estimate, so the results are not exact application-by-application counts.

Data snapshot: January 2026. Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis, metric standardisation, interpretation and visualisation by NovenAI.