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NovenAI Monthly EOI Brief

January 2026

Dated evidence snapshot

NovenAI monthly direct answer

Airconditioning and Refrigeration MechanicANZSCO 342111 EOI competition report, January 2026

According to NovenAI's analysis of Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI data, Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic (ANZSCO 342111) had90 Submitted subclass 189 EOIsas of January 2026. Submitted status is the primary measure used for the pool-movement analysis on this page.

The separately calculated total across Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses is 236. Because it includes Closed records, it is not the number of active applicants currently waiting for an invitation.

Submitted 189 EOIs
90
Three-status total
236
Largest combined band
65points

NovenAI analysis layer

What the evidence says

Pool composition

Submitted represents 38.1 percent of the three-status total, which is less than half of the selected-status total. NovenAI keeps it separate from the combined measure that includes Closed records.

Score concentration

The three largest score bands form a notable concentration without containing a majority of the total. The 65-point band contains 19.5 percent of the three-status total; the three largest bands at 65, 75, 70 points contain 44.9 percent.

State signals

The largest Submitted EOI state totals are 190: VIC 80; 491: QLD 80. These are not nomination allocations or invitation probabilities.

Submitted EOI movement

NovenAI calculates that Submitted EOIs decreased from 103 in December 2025 to 90 in January 2026, a change of 13 EOIs or approximately 12.6 percent month on month.

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NovenAI data visualisation

See the distribution behind the brief

Subclass 189 EOI score distribution for Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic

NovenAI separates Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses so different stages are not mistaken for one active competition pool.

View accessible data table
ScoreSubmittedLodgedClosed
3510010
400010
4510010
5010010
5510010
60101010
65101026
70101010
75101010
801000
85000
90000
95000
100000
105000

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Monthly subclass 189 EOI status trend

Each month is a separate SkillSelect snapshot, not a cumulative total carried forward from earlier months.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Subclass 190 submitted EOI trend by state

NovenAI compares Submitted status only in this chart.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Subclass 491 submitted EOI trend by state

NovenAI compares Submitted status only in this chart.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

NovenAI analyst answers

Questions answered by this monthly evidence

How concentrated is the subclass 189 EOI score distribution for Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic?

The three largest score bands form a notable concentration without containing a majority of the total. NovenAI calculates that 65 points is the largest score band across Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses, with 46 EOIs or 19.5 percent of the three-status total. The three largest bands are 65, 75, 70 points, containing 106 EOIs or 44.9 percent. This measures distribution concentration, not an invitation cutoff.

Is the Submitted EOI pool increasing or decreasing?

NovenAI compares Submitted status only. Submitted EOIs decreased from 103 in December 2025 to 90 in January 2026, a change of 13 EOIs or approximately 12.6 percent across consecutive monthly snapshots.

Which states lead the subclass 190 and 491 Submitted EOI data?

For January 2026, NovenAI's state aggregation shows that VIC has the largest subclass 190 Submitted count at 80; QLD has the largest subclass 491 Submitted count at 80. These are EOI volumes, not state nomination allocations, invitation outcomes or an individual's likelihood of invitation.

How does NovenAI standardise and interpret SkillSelect EOI data?

NovenAI standardises the official data by occupation, visa subclass, status, score band, state and snapshot month. This report covers 7 available snapshots and 10 subclass 189 score bands with data. When the official source suppresses a cell below 20, NovenAI uses 10 as the analytical estimate, so the results are not exact application-by-application counts.

Data snapshot: January 2026. Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis, metric standardisation, interpretation and visualisation by NovenAI.