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NovenAI Monthly EOI Brief

June 2026

Dated evidence snapshot

NovenAI monthly direct answer

CarpenterANZSCO 331212 EOI competition report, June 2026

According to NovenAI's analysis of Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI data, Carpenter (ANZSCO 331212) had597 Submitted subclass 189 EOIsas of June 2026. Submitted status is the primary measure used for the pool-movement analysis on this page.

The separately calculated total across Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses is 3,803. Because it includes Closed records, it is not the number of active applicants currently waiting for an invitation.

Submitted 189 EOIs
597
Three-status total
3,803
Largest combined band
65points

NovenAI analysis layer

What the evidence says

Pool composition

Submitted represents 15.7 percent of the three-status total, which is less than half of the selected-status total. NovenAI keeps it separate from the combined measure that includes Closed records.

Score concentration

More than half of the three-status total is concentrated in the three largest score bands. The 65-point band contains 36.0 percent of the three-status total; the three largest bands at 65, 70, 75 points contain 73.3 percent.

State signals

The largest Submitted EOI state totals are 190: WA 921; 491: WA 886. These are not nomination allocations or invitation probabilities.

Submitted EOI movement

NovenAI calculates that Submitted EOIs decreased from 1,261 in May 2026 to 597 in June 2026, a change of 664 EOIs or approximately 52.7 percent month on month.

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NovenAI data visualisation

See the distribution behind the brief

Subclass 189 EOI score distribution for Carpenter

NovenAI separates Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses so different stages are not mistaken for one active competition pool.

View accessible data table
ScoreSubmittedLodgedClosed
250010
301000
35000
4010010
4510010
50251021
55972642
6021959118
65180274915
7026196704
751071411
801022195
8501054
9001028
950010
100000
105000

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Monthly subclass 189 EOI status trend

Each month is a separate SkillSelect snapshot, not a cumulative total carried forward from earlier months.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Subclass 190 submitted EOI trend by state

NovenAI compares Submitted status only in this chart.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Subclass 491 submitted EOI trend by state

NovenAI compares Submitted status only in this chart.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

NovenAI analyst answers

Questions answered by this monthly evidence

How concentrated is the subclass 189 EOI score distribution for Carpenter?

More than half of the three-status total is concentrated in the three largest score bands. NovenAI calculates that 65 points is the largest score band across Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses, with 1,369 EOIs or 36.0 percent of the three-status total. The three largest bands are 65, 70, 75 points, containing 2,787 EOIs or 73.3 percent. This measures distribution concentration, not an invitation cutoff.

Is the Submitted EOI pool increasing or decreasing?

NovenAI compares Submitted status only. Submitted EOIs decreased from 1,261 in May 2026 to 597 in June 2026, a change of 664 EOIs or approximately 52.7 percent across consecutive monthly snapshots.

Which states lead the subclass 190 and 491 Submitted EOI data?

For June 2026, NovenAI's state aggregation shows that WA has the largest subclass 190 Submitted count at 921; WA has the largest subclass 491 Submitted count at 886. These are EOI volumes, not state nomination allocations, invitation outcomes or an individual's likelihood of invitation.

How does NovenAI standardise and interpret SkillSelect EOI data?

NovenAI standardises the official data by occupation, visa subclass, status, score band, state and snapshot month. This report covers 7 available snapshots and 14 subclass 189 score bands with data. When the official source suppresses a cell below 20, NovenAI uses 10 as the analytical estimate, so the results are not exact application-by-application counts.

Data snapshot: June 2026. Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis, metric standardisation, interpretation and visualisation by NovenAI.