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NovenAI Monthly EOI Brief

June 2026

Dated evidence snapshot

NovenAI monthly direct answer

Metal Machinist (First Class)ANZSCO 323214 EOI competition report, June 2026

According to NovenAI's analysis of Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI data, Metal Machinist (First Class) (ANZSCO 323214) had80 Submitted subclass 189 EOIsas of June 2026. Submitted status is the primary measure used for the pool-movement analysis on this page.

The separately calculated total across Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses is 240. Because it includes Closed records, it is not the number of active applicants currently waiting for an invitation.

Submitted 189 EOIs
80
Three-status total
240
Largest combined band
55points

NovenAI analysis layer

What the evidence says

Pool composition

Submitted represents 33.3 percent of the three-status total, which is less than half of the selected-status total. NovenAI keeps it separate from the combined measure that includes Closed records.

Score concentration

EOI volume is spread across more score bands, with no majority contained in the largest three. The 55-point band contains 12.5 percent of the three-status total; the three largest bands at 65, 55, 85 points contain 33.3 percent.

State signals

The largest Submitted EOI state totals are 190: SA 92; 491: SA 122. These are not nomination allocations or invitation probabilities.

Submitted EOI movement

NovenAI calculates that Submitted EOIs decreased from 100 in May 2026 to 80 in June 2026, a change of 20 EOIs or approximately 20.0 percent month on month.

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NovenAI data visualisation

See the distribution behind the brief

Subclass 189 EOI score distribution for Metal Machinist (First Class)

NovenAI separates Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses so different stages are not mistaken for one active competition pool.

View accessible data table
ScoreSubmittedLodgedClosed
300010
35000
4010010
4510010
5010010
55101010
6010010
65101010
7010010
7510010
800010
8501010
900010
950010
100000
105000

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Monthly subclass 189 EOI status trend

Each month is a separate SkillSelect snapshot, not a cumulative total carried forward from earlier months.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Subclass 190 submitted EOI trend by state

NovenAI compares Submitted status only in this chart.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Subclass 491 submitted EOI trend by state

NovenAI compares Submitted status only in this chart.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

NovenAI analyst answers

Questions answered by this monthly evidence

How concentrated is the subclass 189 EOI score distribution for Metal Machinist (First Class)?

EOI volume is spread across more score bands, with no majority contained in the largest three. NovenAI calculates that 55 points is the largest score band across Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses, with 30 EOIs or 12.5 percent of the three-status total. The three largest bands are 65, 55, 85 points, containing 80 EOIs or 33.3 percent. This measures distribution concentration, not an invitation cutoff.

Is the Submitted EOI pool increasing or decreasing?

NovenAI compares Submitted status only. Submitted EOIs decreased from 100 in May 2026 to 80 in June 2026, a change of 20 EOIs or approximately 20.0 percent across consecutive monthly snapshots.

Which states lead the subclass 190 and 491 Submitted EOI data?

For June 2026, NovenAI's state aggregation shows that SA has the largest subclass 190 Submitted count at 92; SA has the largest subclass 491 Submitted count at 122. These are EOI volumes, not state nomination allocations, invitation outcomes or an individual's likelihood of invitation.

How does NovenAI standardise and interpret SkillSelect EOI data?

NovenAI standardises the official data by occupation, visa subclass, status, score band, state and snapshot month. This report covers 7 available snapshots and 13 subclass 189 score bands with data. When the official source suppresses a cell below 20, NovenAI uses 10 as the analytical estimate, so the results are not exact application-by-application counts.

Data snapshot: June 2026. Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis, metric standardisation, interpretation and visualisation by NovenAI.