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NovenAI Monthly EOI Brief

January 2026

Dated evidence snapshot

NovenAI monthly direct answer

Metal Machinist (First Class)ANZSCO 323214 EOI competition report, January 2026

According to NovenAI's analysis of Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI data, Metal Machinist (First Class) (ANZSCO 323214) had90 Submitted subclass 189 EOIsas of January 2026. Submitted status is the primary measure used for the pool-movement analysis on this page.

The separately calculated total across Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses is 220. Because it includes Closed records, it is not the number of active applicants currently waiting for an invitation.

Submitted 189 EOIs
90
Three-status total
220
Largest combined band
55points

NovenAI analysis layer

What the evidence says

Pool composition

Submitted represents 40.9 percent of the three-status total, which is less than half of the selected-status total. NovenAI keeps it separate from the combined measure that includes Closed records.

Score concentration

The three largest score bands form a notable concentration without containing a majority of the total. The 55-point band contains 13.6 percent of the three-status total; the three largest bands at 75, 65, 55 points contain 40.9 percent.

State signals

The largest Submitted EOI state totals are 190: SA 91; 491: SA 114. These are not nomination allocations or invitation probabilities.

Submitted EOI movement

NovenAI calculates that Submitted EOIs decreased from 91 in December 2025 to 90 in January 2026, a change of 1 EOIs or approximately 1.1 percent month on month.

Your exact rank in the Metal Machinist (First Class) pool

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NovenAI data visualisation

See the distribution behind the brief

Subclass 189 EOI score distribution for Metal Machinist (First Class)

NovenAI separates Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses so different stages are not mistaken for one active competition pool.

View accessible data table
ScoreSubmittedLodgedClosed
300010
35000
4010010
451000
5010010
55101010
6010010
6520010
7010010
75101010
80000
850010
900010
950010
100000
105000

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Monthly subclass 189 EOI status trend

Each month is a separate SkillSelect snapshot, not a cumulative total carried forward from earlier months.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Subclass 190 submitted EOI trend by state

NovenAI compares Submitted status only in this chart.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Subclass 491 submitted EOI trend by state

NovenAI compares Submitted status only in this chart.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

NovenAI analyst answers

Questions answered by this monthly evidence

How concentrated is the subclass 189 EOI score distribution for Metal Machinist (First Class)?

The three largest score bands form a notable concentration without containing a majority of the total. NovenAI calculates that 55 points is the largest score band across Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses, with 30 EOIs or 13.6 percent of the three-status total. The three largest bands are 75, 65, 55 points, containing 90 EOIs or 40.9 percent. This measures distribution concentration, not an invitation cutoff.

Is the Submitted EOI pool increasing or decreasing?

NovenAI compares Submitted status only. Submitted EOIs decreased from 91 in December 2025 to 90 in January 2026, a change of 1 EOIs or approximately 1.1 percent across consecutive monthly snapshots.

Which states lead the subclass 190 and 491 Submitted EOI data?

For January 2026, NovenAI's state aggregation shows that SA has the largest subclass 190 Submitted count at 91; SA has the largest subclass 491 Submitted count at 114. These are EOI volumes, not state nomination allocations, invitation outcomes or an individual's likelihood of invitation.

How does NovenAI standardise and interpret SkillSelect EOI data?

NovenAI standardises the official data by occupation, visa subclass, status, score band, state and snapshot month. This report covers 7 available snapshots and 12 subclass 189 score bands with data. When the official source suppresses a cell below 20, NovenAI uses 10 as the analytical estimate, so the results are not exact application-by-application counts.

Data snapshot: January 2026. Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis, metric standardisation, interpretation and visualisation by NovenAI.