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NovenAI Monthly EOI Brief

September 2025

Dated evidence snapshot

NovenAI monthly direct answer

Welder (First Class)ANZSCO 322313 EOI competition report, September 2025

According to NovenAI's analysis of Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI data, Welder (First Class) (ANZSCO 322313) had418 Submitted subclass 189 EOIsas of September 2025. Submitted status is the primary measure used for the pool-movement analysis on this page.

The separately calculated total across Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses is 731. Because it includes Closed records, it is not the number of active applicants currently waiting for an invitation.

Submitted 189 EOIs
418
Three-status total
731
Largest combined band
70points

NovenAI analysis layer

What the evidence says

Pool composition

Submitted represents 57.2 percent of the three-status total and is the principal component across the selected statuses. NovenAI keeps it separate from the combined measure that includes Closed records.

Score concentration

More than half of the three-status total is concentrated in the three largest score bands. The 70-point band contains 21.3 percent of the three-status total; the three largest bands at 70, 65, 75 points contain 57.0 percent.

State signals

The largest Submitted EOI state totals are 190: VIC 241; 491: VIC 234. These are not nomination allocations or invitation probabilities.

Submitted EOI movement

NovenAI calculates that Submitted EOIs increased from 410 in August 2025 to 418 in September 2025, a change of 8 EOIs or approximately 2.0 percent month on month.

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NovenAI data visualisation

See the distribution behind the brief

Subclass 189 EOI score distribution for Welder (First Class)

NovenAI separates Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses so different stages are not mistaken for one active competition pool.

View accessible data table
ScoreSubmittedLodgedClosed
301000
351000
4010010
4510010
500010
55101010
60411010
65921034
701091037
75691046
80371036
85101010
90101010
950010
100000
105000

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Monthly subclass 189 EOI status trend

Each month is a separate SkillSelect snapshot, not a cumulative total carried forward from earlier months.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Subclass 190 submitted EOI trend by state

NovenAI compares Submitted status only in this chart.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Subclass 491 submitted EOI trend by state

NovenAI compares Submitted status only in this chart.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

NovenAI analyst answers

Questions answered by this monthly evidence

How concentrated is the subclass 189 EOI score distribution for Welder (First Class)?

More than half of the three-status total is concentrated in the three largest score bands. NovenAI calculates that 70 points is the largest score band across Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses, with 156 EOIs or 21.3 percent of the three-status total. The three largest bands are 70, 65, 75 points, containing 417 EOIs or 57.0 percent. This measures distribution concentration, not an invitation cutoff.

Is the Submitted EOI pool increasing or decreasing?

NovenAI compares Submitted status only. Submitted EOIs increased from 410 in August 2025 to 418 in September 2025, a change of 8 EOIs or approximately 2.0 percent across consecutive monthly snapshots.

Which states lead the subclass 190 and 491 Submitted EOI data?

For September 2025, NovenAI's state aggregation shows that VIC has the largest subclass 190 Submitted count at 241; VIC has the largest subclass 491 Submitted count at 234. These are EOI volumes, not state nomination allocations, invitation outcomes or an individual's likelihood of invitation.

How does NovenAI standardise and interpret SkillSelect EOI data?

NovenAI standardises the official data by occupation, visa subclass, status, score band, state and snapshot month. This report covers 7 available snapshots and 14 subclass 189 score bands with data. When the official source suppresses a cell below 20, NovenAI uses 10 as the analytical estimate, so the results are not exact application-by-application counts.

Data snapshot: September 2025. Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis, metric standardisation, interpretation and visualisation by NovenAI.