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NovenAI Monthly EOI Brief

September 2025

Dated evidence snapshot

NovenAI monthly direct answer

Metal FabricatorANZSCO 322311 EOI competition report, September 2025

According to NovenAI's analysis of Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI data, Metal Fabricator (ANZSCO 322311) had197 Submitted subclass 189 EOIsas of September 2025. Submitted status is the primary measure used for the pool-movement analysis on this page.

The separately calculated total across Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses is 392. Because it includes Closed records, it is not the number of active applicants currently waiting for an invitation.

Submitted 189 EOIs
197
Three-status total
392
Largest combined band
65points

NovenAI analysis layer

What the evidence says

Pool composition

Submitted represents 50.3 percent of the three-status total and is the principal component across the selected statuses. NovenAI keeps it separate from the combined measure that includes Closed records.

Score concentration

The three largest score bands form a notable concentration without containing a majority of the total. The 65-point band contains 23.5 percent of the three-status total; the three largest bands at 65, 70, 80 points contain 49.0 percent.

State signals

The largest Submitted EOI state totals are 190: VIC 112; 491: WA 120. These are not nomination allocations or invitation probabilities.

Submitted EOI movement

NovenAI calculates that Submitted EOIs were unchanged at 197 between August 2025 and September 2025.

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NovenAI data visualisation

See the distribution behind the brief

Subclass 189 EOI score distribution for Metal Fabricator

NovenAI separates Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses so different stages are not mistaken for one active competition pool.

View accessible data table
ScoreSubmittedLodgedClosed
300010
351000
4010010
451000
5010010
55101010
60101010
65471035
70501010
75101010
80101010
8510010
9010010
95000
100000
105000

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Monthly subclass 189 EOI status trend

Each month is a separate SkillSelect snapshot, not a cumulative total carried forward from earlier months.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Subclass 190 submitted EOI trend by state

NovenAI compares Submitted status only in this chart.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Subclass 491 submitted EOI trend by state

NovenAI compares Submitted status only in this chart.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

NovenAI analyst answers

Questions answered by this monthly evidence

How concentrated is the subclass 189 EOI score distribution for Metal Fabricator?

The three largest score bands form a notable concentration without containing a majority of the total. NovenAI calculates that 65 points is the largest score band across Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses, with 92 EOIs or 23.5 percent of the three-status total. The three largest bands are 65, 70, 80 points, containing 192 EOIs or 49.0 percent. This measures distribution concentration, not an invitation cutoff.

Is the Submitted EOI pool increasing or decreasing?

NovenAI compares Submitted status only. Submitted EOIs was unchanged from 197 in August 2025 to 197 in September 2025, a change of 0 EOIs or approximately 0.0 percent across consecutive monthly snapshots.

Which states lead the subclass 190 and 491 Submitted EOI data?

For September 2025, NovenAI's state aggregation shows that VIC has the largest subclass 190 Submitted count at 112; WA has the largest subclass 491 Submitted count at 120. These are EOI volumes, not state nomination allocations, invitation outcomes or an individual's likelihood of invitation.

How does NovenAI standardise and interpret SkillSelect EOI data?

NovenAI standardises the official data by occupation, visa subclass, status, score band, state and snapshot month. This report covers 7 available snapshots and 13 subclass 189 score bands with data. When the official source suppresses a cell below 20, NovenAI uses 10 as the analytical estimate, so the results are not exact application-by-application counts.

Data snapshot: September 2025. Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis, metric standardisation, interpretation and visualisation by NovenAI.