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NovenAI Monthly EOI Brief

July 2025

Dated evidence snapshot

NovenAI monthly direct answer

Social WorkerANZSCO 272511 EOI competition report, July 2025

According to NovenAI's analysis of Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI data, Social Worker (ANZSCO 272511) had1,086 Submitted subclass 189 EOIsas of July 2025. Submitted status is the primary measure used for the pool-movement analysis on this page.

The separately calculated total across Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses is 2,257. Because it includes Closed records, it is not the number of active applicants currently waiting for an invitation.

Submitted 189 EOIs
1,086
Three-status total
2,257
Largest combined band
75points

NovenAI analysis layer

What the evidence says

Pool composition

Submitted represents 48.1 percent of the three-status total, which is less than half of the selected-status total. NovenAI keeps it separate from the combined measure that includes Closed records.

Score concentration

More than half of the three-status total is concentrated in the three largest score bands. The 75-point band contains 25.7 percent of the three-status total; the three largest bands at 75, 70, 80 points contain 64.9 percent.

State signals

The largest Submitted EOI state totals are 190: NSW 403; 491: WA 215. These are not nomination allocations or invitation probabilities.

Submitted EOI movement

NovenAI calculates that Submitted EOIs increased from 987 in June 2025 to 1,086 in July 2025, a change of 99 EOIs or approximately 10.0 percent month on month.

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NovenAI data visualisation

See the distribution behind the brief

Subclass 189 EOI score distribution for Social Worker

NovenAI separates Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses so different stages are not mistaken for one active competition pool.

View accessible data table
ScoreSubmittedLodgedClosed
351000
4010010
4510010
5010010
5510010
60331010
6519310138
7024210203
7526954257
8017728225
8510210120
90101026
9510010
1000010
105000

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Monthly subclass 189 EOI status trend

Each month is a separate SkillSelect snapshot, not a cumulative total carried forward from earlier months.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Subclass 190 submitted EOI trend by state

NovenAI compares Submitted status only in this chart.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Subclass 491 submitted EOI trend by state

NovenAI compares Submitted status only in this chart.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

NovenAI analyst answers

Questions answered by this monthly evidence

How concentrated is the subclass 189 EOI score distribution for Social Worker?

More than half of the three-status total is concentrated in the three largest score bands. NovenAI calculates that 75 points is the largest score band across Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses, with 580 EOIs or 25.7 percent of the three-status total. The three largest bands are 75, 70, 80 points, containing 1,465 EOIs or 64.9 percent. This measures distribution concentration, not an invitation cutoff.

Is the Submitted EOI pool increasing or decreasing?

NovenAI compares Submitted status only. Submitted EOIs increased from 987 in June 2025 to 1,086 in July 2025, a change of 99 EOIs or approximately 10.0 percent across consecutive monthly snapshots.

Which states lead the subclass 190 and 491 Submitted EOI data?

For July 2025, NovenAI's state aggregation shows that NSW has the largest subclass 190 Submitted count at 403; WA has the largest subclass 491 Submitted count at 215. These are EOI volumes, not state nomination allocations, invitation outcomes or an individual's likelihood of invitation.

How does NovenAI standardise and interpret SkillSelect EOI data?

NovenAI standardises the official data by occupation, visa subclass, status, score band, state and snapshot month. This report covers 7 available snapshots and 14 subclass 189 score bands with data. When the official source suppresses a cell below 20, NovenAI uses 10 as the analytical estimate, so the results are not exact application-by-application counts.

Data snapshot: July 2025. Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis, metric standardisation, interpretation and visualisation by NovenAI.