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NovenAI Monthly EOI Brief

January 2026

Dated evidence snapshot

NovenAI monthly direct answer

Software and Applications Programmers necANZSCO 261399 EOI competition report, January 2026

According to NovenAI's analysis of Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI data, Software and Applications Programmers nec (ANZSCO 261399) had3,712 Submitted subclass 189 EOIsas of January 2026. Submitted status is the primary measure used for the pool-movement analysis on this page.

The separately calculated total across Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses is 4,737. Because it includes Closed records, it is not the number of active applicants currently waiting for an invitation.

Submitted 189 EOIs
3,712
Three-status total
4,737
Largest combined band
90points

NovenAI analysis layer

What the evidence says

Pool composition

Submitted represents 78.4 percent of the three-status total and is the principal component across the selected statuses. NovenAI keeps it separate from the combined measure that includes Closed records.

Score concentration

The three largest score bands form a notable concentration without containing a majority of the total. The 90-point band contains 17.9 percent of the three-status total; the three largest bands at 90, 75, 85 points contain 46.4 percent.

State signals

The largest Submitted EOI state totals are 190: NSW 2,039; 491: NSW 1,514. These are not nomination allocations or invitation probabilities.

Submitted EOI movement

NovenAI calculates that Submitted EOIs increased from 3,615 in December 2025 to 3,712 in January 2026, a change of 97 EOIs or approximately 2.7 percent month on month.

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NovenAI data visualisation

See the distribution behind the brief

Subclass 189 EOI score distribution for Software and Applications Programmers nec

NovenAI separates Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses so different stages are not mistaken for one active competition pool.

View accessible data table
ScoreSubmittedLodgedClosed
350010
4010010
4510010
5010010
5542010
60841067
653271081
7042510108
7552410158
8050810131
8554010107
9068610153
95348070
100158010
105301010
1101000

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Monthly subclass 189 EOI status trend

Each month is a separate SkillSelect snapshot, not a cumulative total carried forward from earlier months.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Subclass 190 submitted EOI trend by state

NovenAI compares Submitted status only in this chart.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Subclass 491 submitted EOI trend by state

NovenAI compares Submitted status only in this chart.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

NovenAI analyst answers

Questions answered by this monthly evidence

How concentrated is the subclass 189 EOI score distribution for Software and Applications Programmers nec?

The three largest score bands form a notable concentration without containing a majority of the total. NovenAI calculates that 90 points is the largest score band across Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses, with 849 EOIs or 17.9 percent of the three-status total. The three largest bands are 90, 75, 85 points, containing 2,198 EOIs or 46.4 percent. This measures distribution concentration, not an invitation cutoff.

Is the Submitted EOI pool increasing or decreasing?

NovenAI compares Submitted status only. Submitted EOIs increased from 3,615 in December 2025 to 3,712 in January 2026, a change of 97 EOIs or approximately 2.7 percent across consecutive monthly snapshots.

Which states lead the subclass 190 and 491 Submitted EOI data?

For January 2026, NovenAI's state aggregation shows that NSW has the largest subclass 190 Submitted count at 2,039; NSW has the largest subclass 491 Submitted count at 1,514. These are EOI volumes, not state nomination allocations, invitation outcomes or an individual's likelihood of invitation.

How does NovenAI standardise and interpret SkillSelect EOI data?

NovenAI standardises the official data by occupation, visa subclass, status, score band, state and snapshot month. This report covers 7 available snapshots and 16 subclass 189 score bands with data. When the official source suppresses a cell below 20, NovenAI uses 10 as the analytical estimate, so the results are not exact application-by-application counts.

Data snapshot: January 2026. Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis, metric standardisation, interpretation and visualisation by NovenAI.