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NovenAI Monthly EOI Brief

October 2025

Dated evidence snapshot

NovenAI monthly direct answer

Developer ProgrammerANZSCO 261312 EOI competition report, October 2025

According to NovenAI's analysis of Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI data, Developer Programmer (ANZSCO 261312) had6,606 Submitted subclass 189 EOIsas of October 2025. Submitted status is the primary measure used for the pool-movement analysis on this page.

The separately calculated total across Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses is 12,588. Because it includes Closed records, it is not the number of active applicants currently waiting for an invitation.

Submitted 189 EOIs
6,606
Three-status total
12,588
Largest combined band
75points

NovenAI analysis layer

What the evidence says

Pool composition

Submitted represents 52.5 percent of the three-status total and is the principal component across the selected statuses. NovenAI keeps it separate from the combined measure that includes Closed records.

Score concentration

The three largest score bands form a notable concentration without containing a majority of the total. The 75-point band contains 15.7 percent of the three-status total; the three largest bands at 75, 80, 85 points contain 45.9 percent.

State signals

The largest Submitted EOI state totals are 190: NSW 3,931; 491: NSW 3,074. These are not nomination allocations or invitation probabilities.

Submitted EOI movement

NovenAI calculates that Submitted EOIs increased from 6,468 in September 2025 to 6,606 in October 2025, a change of 138 EOIs or approximately 2.1 percent month on month.

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NovenAI data visualisation

See the distribution behind the brief

Subclass 189 EOI score distribution for Developer Programmer

NovenAI separates Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses so different stages are not mistaken for one active competition pool.

View accessible data table
ScoreSubmittedLodgedClosed
250010
301000
350010
4010010
4522010
5042046
551410114
6023110224
6577410517
7095210652
751,08610882
801,05910871
8591134913
9080032953
9543124441
1008710129
10510010
11010010
11510010
12010010
12510010

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Monthly subclass 189 EOI status trend

Each month is a separate SkillSelect snapshot, not a cumulative total carried forward from earlier months.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Subclass 190 submitted EOI trend by state

NovenAI compares Submitted status only in this chart.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Subclass 491 submitted EOI trend by state

NovenAI compares Submitted status only in this chart.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

NovenAI analyst answers

Questions answered by this monthly evidence

How concentrated is the subclass 189 EOI score distribution for Developer Programmer?

The three largest score bands form a notable concentration without containing a majority of the total. NovenAI calculates that 75 points is the largest score band across Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses, with 1,978 EOIs or 15.7 percent of the three-status total. The three largest bands are 75, 80, 85 points, containing 5,776 EOIs or 45.9 percent. This measures distribution concentration, not an invitation cutoff.

Is the Submitted EOI pool increasing or decreasing?

NovenAI compares Submitted status only. Submitted EOIs increased from 6,468 in September 2025 to 6,606 in October 2025, a change of 138 EOIs or approximately 2.1 percent across consecutive monthly snapshots.

Which states lead the subclass 190 and 491 Submitted EOI data?

For October 2025, NovenAI's state aggregation shows that NSW has the largest subclass 190 Submitted count at 3,931; NSW has the largest subclass 491 Submitted count at 3,074. These are EOI volumes, not state nomination allocations, invitation outcomes or an individual's likelihood of invitation.

How does NovenAI standardise and interpret SkillSelect EOI data?

NovenAI standardises the official data by occupation, visa subclass, status, score band, state and snapshot month. This report covers 7 available snapshots and 21 subclass 189 score bands with data. When the official source suppresses a cell below 20, NovenAI uses 10 as the analytical estimate, so the results are not exact application-by-application counts.

Data snapshot: October 2025. Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis, metric standardisation, interpretation and visualisation by NovenAI.