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NovenAI Monthly EOI Brief

May 2026

Dated evidence snapshot

NovenAI monthly direct answer

PhysicistANZSCO 234914 EOI competition report, May 2026

According to NovenAI's analysis of Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI data, Physicist (ANZSCO 234914) had120 Submitted subclass 189 EOIsas of May 2026. Submitted status is the primary measure used for the pool-movement analysis on this page.

The separately calculated total across Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses is 310. Because it includes Closed records, it is not the number of active applicants currently waiting for an invitation.

Submitted 189 EOIs
120
Three-status total
310
Largest combined band
90points

NovenAI analysis layer

What the evidence says

Pool composition

Submitted represents 38.7 percent of the three-status total, which is less than half of the selected-status total. NovenAI keeps it separate from the combined measure that includes Closed records.

Score concentration

The three largest score bands form a notable concentration without containing a majority of the total. The 90-point band contains 13.5 percent of the three-status total; the three largest bands at 90, 75, 85 points contain 35.5 percent.

State signals

The largest Submitted EOI state totals are 190: NSW 100; 491: ACT 90. These are not nomination allocations or invitation probabilities.

Submitted EOI movement

NovenAI calculates that Submitted EOIs increased from 110 in April 2026 to 120 in May 2026, a change of 10 EOIs or approximately 9.1 percent month on month.

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NovenAI data visualisation

See the distribution behind the brief

Subclass 189 EOI score distribution for Physicist

NovenAI separates Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses so different stages are not mistaken for one active competition pool.

View accessible data table
ScoreSubmittedLodgedClosed
35000
40000
45000
5010010
5510010
6010010
6510010
7010010
7510028
80101010
85101010
90101022
9510010
10010010
10510010
1150010

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Monthly subclass 189 EOI status trend

Each month is a separate SkillSelect snapshot, not a cumulative total carried forward from earlier months.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Subclass 190 submitted EOI trend by state

NovenAI compares Submitted status only in this chart.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Subclass 491 submitted EOI trend by state

NovenAI compares Submitted status only in this chart.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

NovenAI analyst answers

Questions answered by this monthly evidence

How concentrated is the subclass 189 EOI score distribution for Physicist?

The three largest score bands form a notable concentration without containing a majority of the total. NovenAI calculates that 90 points is the largest score band across Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses, with 42 EOIs or 13.5 percent of the three-status total. The three largest bands are 90, 75, 85 points, containing 110 EOIs or 35.5 percent. This measures distribution concentration, not an invitation cutoff.

Is the Submitted EOI pool increasing or decreasing?

NovenAI compares Submitted status only. Submitted EOIs increased from 110 in April 2026 to 120 in May 2026, a change of 10 EOIs or approximately 9.1 percent across consecutive monthly snapshots.

Which states lead the subclass 190 and 491 Submitted EOI data?

For May 2026, NovenAI's state aggregation shows that NSW has the largest subclass 190 Submitted count at 100; ACT has the largest subclass 491 Submitted count at 90. These are EOI volumes, not state nomination allocations, invitation outcomes or an individual's likelihood of invitation.

How does NovenAI standardise and interpret SkillSelect EOI data?

NovenAI standardises the official data by occupation, visa subclass, status, score band, state and snapshot month. This report covers 7 available snapshots and 13 subclass 189 score bands with data. When the official source suppresses a cell below 20, NovenAI uses 10 as the analytical estimate, so the results are not exact application-by-application counts.

Data snapshot: May 2026. Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis, metric standardisation, interpretation and visualisation by NovenAI.