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NovenAI Monthly EOI Brief

December 2025

Dated evidence snapshot

NovenAI monthly direct answer

PhysicistANZSCO 234914 EOI competition report, December 2025

According to NovenAI's analysis of Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI data, Physicist (ANZSCO 234914) had92 Submitted subclass 189 EOIsas of December 2025. Submitted status is the primary measure used for the pool-movement analysis on this page.

The separately calculated total across Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses is 272. Because it includes Closed records, it is not the number of active applicants currently waiting for an invitation.

Submitted 189 EOIs
92
Three-status total
272
Largest combined band
75points

NovenAI analysis layer

What the evidence says

Pool composition

Submitted represents 33.8 percent of the three-status total, which is less than half of the selected-status total. NovenAI keeps it separate from the combined measure that includes Closed records.

Score concentration

EOI volume is spread across more score bands, with no majority contained in the largest three. The 75-point band contains 15.4 percent of the three-status total; the three largest bands at 75, 85, 100 points contain 33.8 percent.

State signals

The largest Submitted EOI state totals are 190: VIC 100; 491: SA 90. These are not nomination allocations or invitation probabilities.

Submitted EOI movement

NovenAI calculates that Submitted EOIs decreased from 94 in November 2025 to 92 in December 2025, a change of 2 EOIs or approximately 2.1 percent month on month.

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NovenAI data visualisation

See the distribution behind the brief

Subclass 189 EOI score distribution for Physicist

NovenAI separates Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses so different stages are not mistaken for one active competition pool.

View accessible data table
ScoreSubmittedLodgedClosed
35000
40000
450010
5010010
5510010
6010010
6510010
7010010
75221010
8010010
85101010
9001010
9501010
10001010
1050010

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Monthly subclass 189 EOI status trend

Each month is a separate SkillSelect snapshot, not a cumulative total carried forward from earlier months.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Subclass 190 submitted EOI trend by state

NovenAI compares Submitted status only in this chart.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Subclass 491 submitted EOI trend by state

NovenAI compares Submitted status only in this chart.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

NovenAI analyst answers

Questions answered by this monthly evidence

How concentrated is the subclass 189 EOI score distribution for Physicist?

EOI volume is spread across more score bands, with no majority contained in the largest three. NovenAI calculates that 75 points is the largest score band across Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses, with 42 EOIs or 15.4 percent of the three-status total. The three largest bands are 75, 85, 100 points, containing 92 EOIs or 33.8 percent. This measures distribution concentration, not an invitation cutoff.

Is the Submitted EOI pool increasing or decreasing?

NovenAI compares Submitted status only. Submitted EOIs decreased from 94 in November 2025 to 92 in December 2025, a change of 2 EOIs or approximately 2.1 percent across consecutive monthly snapshots.

Which states lead the subclass 190 and 491 Submitted EOI data?

For December 2025, NovenAI's state aggregation shows that VIC has the largest subclass 190 Submitted count at 100; SA has the largest subclass 491 Submitted count at 90. These are EOI volumes, not state nomination allocations, invitation outcomes or an individual's likelihood of invitation.

How does NovenAI standardise and interpret SkillSelect EOI data?

NovenAI standardises the official data by occupation, visa subclass, status, score band, state and snapshot month. This report covers 7 available snapshots and 13 subclass 189 score bands with data. When the official source suppresses a cell below 20, NovenAI uses 10 as the analytical estimate, so the results are not exact application-by-application counts.

Data snapshot: December 2025. Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis, metric standardisation, interpretation and visualisation by NovenAI.