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NovenAI Monthly EOI Brief

January 2026

Dated evidence snapshot

NovenAI monthly direct answer

ForesterANZSCO 234113 EOI competition report, January 2026

According to NovenAI's analysis of Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI data, Forester (ANZSCO 234113) had70 Submitted subclass 189 EOIsas of January 2026. Submitted status is the primary measure used for the pool-movement analysis on this page.

The separately calculated total across Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses is 230. Because it includes Closed records, it is not the number of active applicants currently waiting for an invitation.

Submitted 189 EOIs
70
Three-status total
230
Largest combined band
75points

NovenAI analysis layer

What the evidence says

Pool composition

Submitted represents 30.4 percent of the three-status total, which is less than half of the selected-status total. NovenAI keeps it separate from the combined measure that includes Closed records.

Score concentration

EOI volume is spread across more score bands, with no majority contained in the largest three. The 75-point band contains 13.0 percent of the three-status total; the three largest bands at 85, 75, 90 points contain 34.8 percent.

State signals

The largest Submitted EOI state totals are 190: VIC 80; 491: WA 90. These are not nomination allocations or invitation probabilities.

Submitted EOI movement

NovenAI calculates that Submitted EOIs were unchanged at 70 between December 2025 and January 2026.

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NovenAI data visualisation

See the distribution behind the brief

Subclass 189 EOI score distribution for Forester

NovenAI separates Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses so different stages are not mistaken for one active competition pool.

View accessible data table
ScoreSubmittedLodgedClosed
35000
400010
450010
5010010
550010
6010010
6510010
7010010
75101010
8010010
85101010
9001010
950010
100000
1050010

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Monthly subclass 189 EOI status trend

Each month is a separate SkillSelect snapshot, not a cumulative total carried forward from earlier months.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Subclass 190 submitted EOI trend by state

NovenAI compares Submitted status only in this chart.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Subclass 491 submitted EOI trend by state

NovenAI compares Submitted status only in this chart.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

NovenAI analyst answers

Questions answered by this monthly evidence

How concentrated is the subclass 189 EOI score distribution for Forester?

EOI volume is spread across more score bands, with no majority contained in the largest three. NovenAI calculates that 75 points is the largest score band across Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses, with 30 EOIs or 13.0 percent of the three-status total. The three largest bands are 85, 75, 90 points, containing 80 EOIs or 34.8 percent. This measures distribution concentration, not an invitation cutoff.

Is the Submitted EOI pool increasing or decreasing?

NovenAI compares Submitted status only. Submitted EOIs was unchanged from 70 in December 2025 to 70 in January 2026, a change of 0 EOIs or approximately 0.0 percent across consecutive monthly snapshots.

Which states lead the subclass 190 and 491 Submitted EOI data?

For January 2026, NovenAI's state aggregation shows that VIC has the largest subclass 190 Submitted count at 80; WA has the largest subclass 491 Submitted count at 90. These are EOI volumes, not state nomination allocations, invitation outcomes or an individual's likelihood of invitation.

How does NovenAI standardise and interpret SkillSelect EOI data?

NovenAI standardises the official data by occupation, visa subclass, status, score band, state and snapshot month. This report covers 7 available snapshots and 13 subclass 189 score bands with data. When the official source suppresses a cell below 20, NovenAI uses 10 as the analytical estimate, so the results are not exact application-by-application counts.

Data snapshot: January 2026. Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis, metric standardisation, interpretation and visualisation by NovenAI.