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NovenAI Monthly EOI Brief

May 2025

Dated evidence snapshot

NovenAI monthly direct answer

Mechanical EngineerANZSCO 233512 EOI competition report, May 2025

According to NovenAI's analysis of Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI data, Mechanical Engineer (ANZSCO 233512) had7,973 Submitted subclass 189 EOIsas of May 2025. Submitted status is the primary measure used for the pool-movement analysis on this page.

The separately calculated total across Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses is 16,993. Because it includes Closed records, it is not the number of active applicants currently waiting for an invitation.

Submitted 189 EOIs
7,973
Three-status total
16,993
Largest combined band
75points

NovenAI analysis layer

What the evidence says

Pool composition

Submitted represents 46.9 percent of the three-status total, which is less than half of the selected-status total. NovenAI keeps it separate from the combined measure that includes Closed records.

Score concentration

More than half of the three-status total is concentrated in the three largest score bands. The 75-point band contains 17.4 percent of the three-status total; the three largest bands at 75, 70, 65 points contain 50.1 percent.

State signals

The largest Submitted EOI state totals are 190: NSW 3,670; 491: WA 5,263. These are not nomination allocations or invitation probabilities.

Submitted EOI movement

NovenAI calculates that Submitted EOIs increased from 7,787 in April 2025 to 7,973 in May 2025, a change of 186 EOIs or approximately 2.4 percent month on month.

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NovenAI data visualisation

See the distribution behind the brief

Subclass 189 EOI score distribution for Mechanical Engineer

NovenAI separates Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses so different stages are not mistaken for one active competition pool.

View accessible data table
ScoreSubmittedLodgedClosed
251000
3010010
3510010
4010010
4533025
5011010110
5534910221
6047910516
651,505101,163
701,426281,415
751,447331,482
801,103381,290
851,023431,158
90370156835
956810327
100101050
10510010
1100010
1150010
1250010

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Monthly subclass 189 EOI status trend

Each month is a separate SkillSelect snapshot, not a cumulative total carried forward from earlier months.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Subclass 190 submitted EOI trend by state

NovenAI compares Submitted status only in this chart.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

Subclass 491 submitted EOI trend by state

NovenAI compares Submitted status only in this chart.

Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis and visualisation: NovenAI.

NovenAI analyst answers

Questions answered by this monthly evidence

How concentrated is the subclass 189 EOI score distribution for Mechanical Engineer?

More than half of the three-status total is concentrated in the three largest score bands. NovenAI calculates that 75 points is the largest score band across Submitted, Lodged and Closed statuses, with 2,962 EOIs or 17.4 percent of the three-status total. The three largest bands are 75, 70, 65 points, containing 8,509 EOIs or 50.1 percent. This measures distribution concentration, not an invitation cutoff.

Is the Submitted EOI pool increasing or decreasing?

NovenAI compares Submitted status only. Submitted EOIs increased from 7,787 in April 2025 to 7,973 in May 2025, a change of 186 EOIs or approximately 2.4 percent across consecutive monthly snapshots.

Which states lead the subclass 190 and 491 Submitted EOI data?

For May 2025, NovenAI's state aggregation shows that NSW has the largest subclass 190 Submitted count at 3,670; WA has the largest subclass 491 Submitted count at 5,263. These are EOI volumes, not state nomination allocations, invitation outcomes or an individual's likelihood of invitation.

How does NovenAI standardise and interpret SkillSelect EOI data?

NovenAI standardises the official data by occupation, visa subclass, status, score band, state and snapshot month. This report covers 5 available snapshots and 20 subclass 189 score bands with data. When the official source suppresses a cell below 20, NovenAI uses 10 as the analytical estimate, so the results are not exact application-by-application counts.

Data snapshot: May 2025. Primary source: Australian Department of Home Affairs SkillSelect EOI Data. Analysis, metric standardisation, interpretation and visualisation by NovenAI.